Follow-up on Growth
Source: Political Science column, by
Tom Dworetzky,
© 1993 Omni Magazine
With the Administration and private attention
fixed on the economy, maybe it's time to reexamine a key indicator
to financial health - the Gross National Product. For years,
a small band of thinkers have argued that the way the GNP is
calculated is the real problem, and I agree. Because we live
and die on the altar of economic totems like GNP, we worship
in ignorant bliss.
Here's the basic dilemma: Say your name is
Ned and the GNP stands for Gross Ned Product. You work at the
local coal mine, and they pay really well. Of course you can
only mine coal for a while before you get black-lung disease
and retire permanently. Then there'll be medical bills. So the
extra good pay is for using up your lungs, which you can only
do one time. Those lungs are your own private, nonrenewable
resource - like coal, oil, clean air and water, old growth forests,
and even those damned spotted owls.
If Ned calculates his GNP only by considering
his income, he looks in pretty good shape until he gets sick,
then the medical bills wipe out his savings, and he can't work
anymore. The Gross National Product figures things much the
same as the Gross Ned Product. It looks at our gross product
without subtracting for the one-time depletion of the irreplaceable
resources necessary to create those products. Nothing in the
figures leavens the GNP with a long-range consideration of how
much stuff you're using up that's nonrenewable.
Experts have argued that the GNP is far from
the only figure needed to measure the economy. Among the experts
are Claremont College theologian John Cobb, his son Clifford,
and the World Bank's Herman Daly. They've gone as far as to
create another index, first published as an appendix in the
1989 book "For The Common Good". They call it their "the Index
of Sustainable Economic Welfare" (ISEW). It offers a different
assessment of our economic world. Some major factors ignored
by the GNP but part of the ISEW, according to Clifford Cobb,
include;
- Distribution of income. New dollars to the
rich add less towards ISEW than do new dollars to the poor.
- Lower ISEW for nonrenewable depletion of
resources that account for permanent losses.
- International borrowing is subtracted from
ISEW.
- Factor unpaid household work and child-rearing
into the ISEW figures.
- Adjust ISEW downwards for military spending
and weapon programs.
- Adjust ISEW upwards for government spending
done on infrastructure; repairs to bridges, streets, sewers
etc.
Clearly, as Clifford Cobb says, "With the ISEW,
you can measure quality of life better than with the GNP. The
ISEW tries to measures how well off we are, not how fast the
wheels are spinning. We've known for years that many things
are left out of the GNP, but few attempts have been made to
address this issue. Measures of economic activity are vital:
In practice, policy makers use the GNP numbers as a measure
of welfare and base decisions on them. The mindset develops
wherein people ignore what the numbers really represent.
What the Cobbs, and others who advocate sustainable
economic growth, have found conforms to our most common experience:
We are not always better off if GNP rises. Changing our overreliance
on the GNP calculation would put the issue before us every day
and make common sense out of calls for conservation and perspective.
Would you drive a car with no odometer, with
no thought to the fuel consumed? Today's GNP calculation is
like a gas gauge with no associated mileage reading. Isn't it
time to start figuring out how many miles we're getting to the
gallon instead of just how much fuel we've burned? It might
just tell us how far we can go
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